This page links to the results of those historical elections, including a larger map, results and synopsis of the race. Our first ratings of the 2020 electoral college map 2 show both parties well within reach of victory. Electoral vote changes in future elections ravi parikhs. Realclearpolitics 2020 election maps battle for white. Partisan consistency in the electoral college, 20002016 our first ratings of the 2020 electoral college map 2 show both parties well within reach of victory. If you enjoy exploring people, their cultures, and behavior, you should enjoy social studies. As freeman and wallaert note, even in this scenario, the electoral college outcome is different than the popular vote. It was somewhat controversial at least judging by many of the reactions we received. Electoral college 2030 based on projections 1600x1224 oc. Through 2016, there have been 58 presidential elections. Its the states that decide who the president is, and not.
Click on a state to change who wins it, or click one of the buttons below to reset the states to the baseline of a previous election. Future presidential candidates may or may not follow in her footsteps. On march 31, we released our first general election map of the electoral college. Create a specific matchup by clicking the party andor names near the electoral vote counter. If the democrats think they can come up with a strategy to win the white house without cracking the sun belt, they better hurry up. An interactive version of each map is also available, letting you change history. Some of our readers may recall that the crystal ball published its first 2016 electoral college map at the end of march. Three years ago i mentioned a project neil freeman, an artist and urban planner in new york, had worked out to fix the electoral college system.
Click states on this interactive map to create your own 2020 election forecast. One nation after trump authors wonder about 2050 america. Politico chief polling analyst steven shepard talks about the electoral college as electors from each state gather to cast its their ballots for president and vice president. Could this be what the electoral college map really looks. Electoral college map for the 2016 united states presidential election note. Abolishing the electoral college used to be a bipartisan position. Cnn has updated its ratings of battleground states. States like virginia and colorado were out of trumps reach.
The electoral college ties and congress chooses the president. It takes place roughly fifty plus years from now after climate change made the sea levels rise. It granted equal protection under the law for all citizens. Its predicted texas will be a democratic state by 2030 unless the republican stance on immigration changes. Barring anything unusual happening, the presidents electoral college victory could easily surpass his 2016 win over democrat hillary clinton, which came by a 304227 count. New hampshire has moved away from leaning democrat to battleground status. The 2016 historical interactive map shows the official electoral vote, which trump won 304227, with seven total faithless electors. Use this map as a starting point to create and share your own 2020 presidential election forecast. For the first two, please include your initials and city.
Recently we took a look inside the battleground states. I used statebystate population projections 1 and then calculated vote apportionment 2 to determine what the electoral map would look like. The map above shows the electoral college map as it appears based on final reports from local news, state officials and electors. If you wish to contact us, please use one of these addresses. There are many disciplines that fit under the umbrella of the social sciences, so you can narrow the field to one that most interests you as you select a. Partisan consistency in the electoral college, 20002016. There are few founding institutions in the united states less wellunderstood than the electoral college, the somewhat mysterious body of officials. Electoral college representation is likely to be reduced in states such as new york and illinois where democrats tend to. The electoral college serves as a compromise between the election of the president by a congressional vote and by a popular vote by the citizens. Republican speaker of the house dennis hastert becomes president.
This is how the electoral map of the united states will change by 2030 and 2060 according to population projections. Teachers of civics, government, and geography can use this printable united states map to show how many electors each state has for the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections. Now that mitt romney has clinched the gop nod, heres an early look at the whole map and some. Its probably not lost on you, dear reader, that i am offering a forecast not for the presidential primary election, itself still in its infancy, but for the november 2020 general election that is some 16 months away. Social studies is the study of human beings as they relate to each other and their environments. The new and improved electoral college map the atlantic.
This map is in a situation of tossup election, so you should correct it if you plan to make it a democratic or republican victory. Looking ahead to the 2020 electoral college map, my model delivers on two of the most critical elements of election forecasting. Electoral college that shows two more states and part of a third state are now leaning republican ohio and utah are now labeled lean republican instead of battleground, while maines 2nd congressional district lean republican. If they overreach, their soothing voices will be replaced with a metallic hello, my name is rosie. The 14th amendment was ratified and had a big impact on the electoral college. Trumps path to the presidency, if it exists, could run through the rust belt, or by bringing new swing states into play. If it werent for the electoral college, she would have gotten away with it. According to motley, in 2030 the highpaying job with the most openings will be registered nurse. When hillary clinton was leading donald trump by 7 or 8 percentage points nationally, her electoral college map seemed expansive.
With 16 months to go, negative partisanship predicts the. The politics of how we got from here to there are a bit ambiguous, but its clear that theres global unrest. Democracy mob rule, popular vote takes all is a recipe for domination and serfdom. Donald trump will have to win every tossup state and at least one state rated as leaning toward democrats. The current electoral college ratings for the 2020 presidential election from larry sabato and the team at the university of virginia center for politics. Just to see what a generic bias factor of minus3 would do to the map, we subtracted three points from the real clear politics averages in each state for hillary clinton and added three to donald trump. Nebraska and maine split their evs by congressional district. Nurses will still need to remember not to be cocky and demand too much. The shades doesnt indicate percentages, but the closeness of the state lightleaning, averagesolid, darksafe. Democrat biden bloomberg buttigieg gabbard klobuchar sanders steyer warren. Then you would have to recalculate the averages and apply it to the electoral college map. Electoral vote map is an interactive map to help you follow the 2020 presidential election. State population changes mean for american elections.
Select one or more years, states and race types, then click apply filter to see results. I think the dems will have a good decade with almost complete power in. If they think the southern rise in electoral college influence. To view maps and results from all prior presidential elections on a single page, see. Americas electoral future demographic shifts and the future of the trump coalition by rob griffin, ruy teixeira, and william h. Download free version pdf format my safe download promise. Arizonas strong democrat presence, as well as democrat growth in texas caused by influx of voters and natural population growth. Decide for yourself who wins which states in the presidential election, and see how the electoral college falls out from there. New population projections suggest that the nations narrowly divided electoral map will shift dramatically by 2030, with important implications for both political parties.
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